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Red45
27412.6
6429.9
Blue30
23410.5
96611.3
37%Model gave it63%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1926010304050604530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
274
Unranked
12.61.2
12.313.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
966
Unranked
11.31.2
12.411.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
642
Unranked
9.91.2
8.79.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
234
Unranked
10.51.2
12.010.8
Auto
Teleop
End