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Red22
15716.7
27215.3
6312.9
Blue12
43313.0
36515.2
8348.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48340204060802212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
Unranked
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
365
Unranked
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
272
Unranked
15.30.0
15.315.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
433
Unranked
13.00.0
13.013.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
63
Unranked
12.90.0
12.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
834
Unranked
8.60.0
8.78.6
Auto
Teleop
End