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Red10
15716.7
27215.3
6312.9
Blue32
14515.6
22513.6
65110.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49350204060801001032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
Unranked
16.70.4
17.016.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
145
Unranked
15.60.4
15.315.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
272
Unranked
15.30.4
15.615.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
225
Unranked
13.60.4
13.313.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
63
Unranked
12.90.4
13.212.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
651
Unranked
10.20.5
9.810.3
Auto
Teleop
End