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Red43
66513.9
43313.0
Blue32
8028.6
35711.8
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23230102030404332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
665
Unranked
13.90.5
11.111.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
357
Unranked
11.80.5
14.013.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
433
Unranked
13.00.7
12.112.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
802
Unranked
8.60.7
9.38.6
Auto
Teleop
End