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Red32
70910.5
10411.9
Blue21
4596.5
16513.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212101030403221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
104
Unranked
11.90.7
9.310.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
165
Unranked
13.20.7
12.311.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
709
Unranked
10.50.7
12.112.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
459
Unranked
6.50.5
8.88.3
Auto
Teleop
End