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Red0
52810.7
56513.2
Blue43
61213.2
36515.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21290406080100043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
565
Unranked
13.22.4
12.710.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
365
Unranked
15.21.8
12.914.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
528
Unranked
10.72.4
9.97.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
612
Unranked
13.21.9
14.216.1
Auto
Teleop
End