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Red20
2228.2
8348.6
Blue30
48614.1
6312.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2721010405060702030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
Unranked
8.60.8
13.512.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
486
Unranked
14.10.8
11.912.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
222
Unranked
8.20.8
12.311.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
63
Unranked
12.90.8
10.911.7
Auto
Teleop
End