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Red51
66513.9
15716.7
Blue39
31614.1
61213.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25340204060801005139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
Unranked
16.70.6
16.216.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
316
Unranked
14.10.6
15.414.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
665
Unranked
13.90.6
10.811.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
612
Unranked
13.20.6
16.716.0
Auto
Teleop
End