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Red26
14515.6
8028.6
Blue31
69510.8
48614.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312004060802631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145
Unranked
15.60.7
16.916.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
486
Unranked
14.10.7
13.113.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
802
Unranked
8.60.7
11.610.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
695
Unranked
10.80.4
9.39.7
Auto
Teleop
End