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Red49
64312.7
9208.7
Blue21
81612.3
66513.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14310204060801004921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
643
Unranked
12.71.4
10.612.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
665
Unranked
13.91.4
11.510.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
920
Unranked
8.72.3
7.29.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
816
Unranked
12.32.3
15.613.3
Auto
Teleop
End