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Red36
36717.2
56513.2
Blue1
61213.2
70910.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21290406080100361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
367
Unranked
17.22.4
12.214.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
612
Unranked
13.21.5
16.014.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
565
Unranked
13.22.4
10.513.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
709
Unranked
10.52.4
10.88.4
Auto
Teleop
End