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Red30
97210.8
63610.3
Blue42
19012.9
81412.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24210103040506070803042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
972
Unranked
10.80.9
11.911.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
190
Unranked
12.90.7
10.611.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
636
Unranked
10.30.9
11.410.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
814
Unranked
12.80.9
11.011.8
Auto
Teleop
End