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Red20
60412.9
6928.6
Blue33
68710.6
4809.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2423102030402033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
Unranked
12.90.8
11.010.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
687
Unranked
10.60.8
11.412.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
692
Unranked
8.60.8
12.411.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
480
Unranked
9.43.5
9.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End