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Red43
29816.1
25510.6
Blue25
83111.3
97313.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24240102030404325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
298
Unranked
16.12.9
16.113.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
973
Unranked
13.82.8
13.811.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
255
Unranked
10.62.7
10.613.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
831
Unranked
11.30.3
11.311.0
Auto
Teleop
End