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Red31
37615.0
1147.1
Blue21
4098.5
52412.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24240102030403121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
376
Unranked
15.03.5
16.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
524
Unranked
12.42.8
14.311.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
114
Unranked
7.11.6
11.112.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
409
Unranked
8.53.0
8.511.5
Auto
Teleop
End