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Red50
5819.8
3629.5
Blue20
70110.3
7518.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424010203040505020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
Unranked
9.84.2
9.814.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
701
Unranked
10.31.7
11.910.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
362
Unranked
9.54.0
10.014.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
751
Unranked
8.71.5
8.710.2
Auto
Teleop
End