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Red30
66811.2
84110.4
Blue38
59913.8
6018.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24240102030403038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
668
Unranked
11.20.4
11.211.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
60
Unranked
18.56.6
19.212.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
841
Unranked
10.41.2
10.411.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
599
Unranked
13.80.3
12.912.6
Auto
Teleop
End