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Red30
59913.8
52412.4
Blue21
60912.2
76611.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242204060803021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
Unranked
13.80.5
10.811.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
609
Unranked
12.20.3
11.210.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
524
Unranked
12.40.5
12.813.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
766
Unranked
11.10.5
11.110.6
Auto
Teleop
End