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Red38
70110.3
97313.8
Blue20
64510.6
6055.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182504060801001203820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
Unranked
13.81.4
10.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
645
Unranked
10.61.4
13.412.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
701
Unranked
10.31.4
8.910.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
605
Unranked
5.81.4
9.88.5
Auto
Teleop
End