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Red40
25416.7
60912.2
Blue22
6055.8
4098.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271704060804022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
16.70.6
14.214.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
409
Unranked
8.50.8
11.210.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
609
Unranked
12.20.5
10.911.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
605
Unranked
5.80.8
8.57.7
Auto
Teleop
End