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Red30
84013.5
64510.6
Blue33
84110.4
83111.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252404060801003033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
840
Unranked
13.50.3
12.912.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
831
Unranked
11.30.3
12.813.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
645
Unranked
10.60.3
12.011.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
841
Unranked
10.40.3
11.111.3
Auto
Teleop
End