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Red15
44213.9
44612.8
Blue20
64410.8
23511.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2425010203040501520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
442
Unranked
13.90.3
12.211.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
235
Unranked
11.60.3
13.013.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
446
Unranked
12.80.3
12.312.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
644
Unranked
10.80.3
11.912.1
Auto
Teleop
End