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Red32
47611.3
45610.5
Blue39
64710.7
35610.8
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23235101520253035403239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
476
Unranked
11.30.5
11.411.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
356
Unranked
10.80.5
11.612.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
456
Unranked
10.50.5
11.911.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
647
Unranked
10.70.5
11.211.7
Auto
Teleop
End