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Red20
60911.3
63518.4
Blue24
19212.1
43712.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22235101520253035402024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
635
Unranked
18.40.2
12.312.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
437
Unranked
12.50.2
11.611.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
609
Unranked
11.30.2
10.410.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
192
Unranked
12.10.2
11.411.6
Auto
Teleop
End