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Red29
62411.0
64410.8
Blue43
20713.4
43811.3
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24245101520303540452943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
Unranked
11.00.9
12.111.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
207
Unranked
13.40.9
14.014.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
644
Unranked
10.80.9
12.111.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
438
Unranked
11.30.9
9.410.4
Auto
Teleop
End