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Red27
44612.8
64710.7
Blue21
21512.3
44111.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232701020304050602721

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
446
Unranked
12.80.5
12.012.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
215
Unranked
12.30.5
12.612.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
647
Unranked
10.70.5
11.712.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
441
Unranked
11.80.5
13.012.5
Auto
Teleop
End