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Red20
1485.9
39713.2
Blue30
4818.9
65910.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24240102030402030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
397
Unranked
13.20.7
10.811.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
659
Unranked
10.91.9
10.912.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
148
Unranked
5.95.6
5.911.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
481
Unranked
8.92.8
9.912.7
Auto
Teleop
End