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Red20
19212.1
41812.1
Blue14
4999.6
66011.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030402014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
Unranked
12.10.4
12.112.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
660
Unranked
11.60.1
11.611.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
192
Unranked
12.12.3
14.812.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
499
Unranked
9.62.1
9.611.7
Auto
Teleop
End