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Red30
21512.3
31714.0
Blue20
4818.9
89914.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232410152030353020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
317
Unranked
14.00.7
12.813.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
899
Unranked
14.20.7
13.012.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
215
Unranked
12.30.7
10.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
481
Unranked
8.90.7
11.110.4
Auto
Teleop
End