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Red32
23110.6
35610.8
Blue39
4999.6
9087.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25160102030405060703239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
356
Unranked
10.80.7
12.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
499
Unranked
9.60.7
9.29.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
231
Unranked
10.60.7
11.010.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
908
Unranked
7.70.7
9.29.9
Auto
Teleop
End