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Red21
39713.2
36412.1
Blue29
59016.6
63518.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263001020405060702129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
397
Unranked
13.20.4
13.713.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
635
Unranked
18.40.4
13.914.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
364
Unranked
12.10.4
13.513.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
590
Unranked
16.60.4
15.415.8
Auto
Teleop
End