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Red30
41812.1
62411.0
Blue35
65910.9
1614.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2326010203040503035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
Unranked
12.10.2
11.911.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
16
Unranked
14.80.2
12.412.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
624
Unranked
11.00.2
11.811.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
659
Unranked
10.90.2
13.113.3
Auto
Teleop
End