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Red30
43411.5
44612.8
Blue27
66011.6
3412.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232451015203035403027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
446
Unranked
12.80.2
11.611.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
34
Unranked
12.30.2
10.910.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
434
Unranked
11.50.2
11.812.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
660
Unranked
11.60.2
12.312.1
Auto
Teleop
End