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Red30
64410.8
5716.8
Blue23
44111.8
4999.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2921010405060703023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57
Unranked
16.80.1
15.515.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
441
Unranked
11.80.2
12.011.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
644
Unranked
10.80.2
11.711.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
499
Unranked
9.60.2
11.311.1
Auto
Teleop
End