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Red27
21512.3
43712.5
Blue33
59016.6
75012.6
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030402733

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
437
Unranked
12.50.8
12.511.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
590
Unranked
16.64.1
16.612.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
215
Unranked
12.30.6
12.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
750
Unranked
12.60.1
12.612.5
Auto
Teleop
End