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Red22
23110.6
43811.3
Blue51
60715.0
89914.2
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242410203040502251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
438
Unranked
11.31.0
11.310.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
607
Unranked
15.01.1
15.013.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
231
Unranked
10.60.3
10.610.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
899
Unranked
14.20.3
14.213.9
Auto
Teleop
End