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Red20
89914.2
23511.6
Blue24
41812.1
45610.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3217010405060702024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
899
Unranked
14.20.7
14.914.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
418
Unranked
12.10.7
10.311.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
235
Unranked
11.60.7
13.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
456
Unranked
10.50.7
10.611.2
Auto
Teleop
End