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Red58
1614.8
43811.3
Blue31
4999.6
64710.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2124010304050605831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
Unranked
14.81.7
13.114.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
647
Unranked
10.71.6
12.210.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
438
Unranked
11.31.7
8.610.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
499
Unranked
9.61.6
11.19.6
Auto
Teleop
End