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Red22
23511.6
43411.5
Blue37
47611.3
63518.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233001040506070802237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
235
Unranked
11.60.7
12.712.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
635
Unranked
18.40.6
17.818.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
434
Unranked
11.50.7
12.111.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
476
Unranked
11.30.7
10.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End