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Red29
43811.3
43712.5
Blue10
4818.9
64410.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22220103040502910

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
437
Unranked
12.51.0
11.512.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
644
Unranked
10.81.1
11.910.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
438
Unranked
11.31.0
10.311.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
481
Unranked
8.91.0
10.29.1
Auto
Teleop
End