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Red27
92610.9
44916.4
Blue15
62314.2
68611.4
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030402715

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
Unranked
16.43.6
16.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
623
Unranked
14.22.8
14.211.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
926
Unranked
10.92.0
10.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
686
Unranked
11.40.1
11.411.4
Auto
Teleop
End