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Red21
60210.5
90015.5
Blue31
97513.2
76913.2
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030402131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
Unranked
15.54.0
15.511.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
769
Unranked
13.20.5
13.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
602
Unranked
10.50.9
10.511.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
975
Unranked
13.20.5
13.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End