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Red20
33910.5
97712.1
Blue30
83915.4
39815.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030402030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
977
Unranked
12.10.6
12.111.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
398
Unranked
15.73.5
16.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
339
Unranked
10.54.6
16.111.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
839
Unranked
15.44.1
16.812.7
Auto
Teleop
End