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Red20
27211.4
38411.8
Blue10
33711.5
42213.7
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030402010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
Unranked
11.81.1
11.612.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
422
Unranked
13.72.2
13.711.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
272
Unranked
11.42.6
15.312.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
337
Unranked
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto
Teleop
End