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Red38
39815.7
61215.7
Blue16
22513.0
83610.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3124010204050603816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
Unranked
15.71.1
14.515.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
225
Unranked
13.01.1
14.113.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
398
Unranked
15.71.1
14.615.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
836
Unranked
10.31.1
11.310.3
Auto
Teleop
End