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Red21
43511.7
92814.5
Blue40
34611.2
90513.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341701030405060702140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
928
Unranked
14.51.6
16.114.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
905
Unranked
13.31.7
11.613.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
435
Unranked
11.71.7
13.411.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
346
Unranked
11.21.6
9.611.2
Auto
Teleop
End