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Red20
6229.4
6167.4
Blue33
40111.8
61110.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1623010203040502033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
622
Unranked
9.40.6
10.09.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
401
Unranked
11.80.6
11.211.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
616
Unranked
7.40.6
8.07.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
611
Unranked
10.50.6
9.910.5
Auto
Teleop
End