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Red29
40411.7
27211.4
Blue20
58714.7
49712.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17340102030405060702920

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
404
Unranked
11.71.0
10.711.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
587
Unranked
14.71.1
15.814.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
272
Unranked
11.41.0
10.411.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
497
Unranked
12.51.1
13.612.5
Auto
Teleop
End