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Red10
9277.5
33711.5
Blue36
39815.7
92814.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2325010203040501036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
337
Unranked
11.51.5
11.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
398
Unranked
15.71.5
12.714.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
927
Unranked
7.51.5
11.510.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
928
Unranked
14.51.5
11.713.2
Auto
Teleop
End