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Red30
38411.8
83915.4
Blue30
43511.7
6167.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2623010203040503030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
Unranked
15.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
435
Unranked
11.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
384
Unranked
11.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
616
Unranked
7.4
Auto
Teleop
End